media coverage of the Syriza victory 25 Jan 2015:
NYT; EUobserver; reactions from across Europe (FT); Q&As (FT); Transform!; The Conversation; on implications for changes to Greek politicla culture; on profile of new cabinet; discussion of implications; overview of immediate post-election votes against austerity; Blyth and Ban – democracy and anti-austerity; Moschonas on rise of Syriza; Joschka Fischer; Hollande and Renzi display (limited) support; pamphlet produced by the Greek politics specialist group; Red Pepper on peer-to-peer populism; on implications for UK left; Varoufakis blog; on making a debt deal palatable to Germany; influence of british academia; first meetign with Eurozone finance chief; Varoufakis adopts confronataional approach; Paul Mason on giving Troika marching orders; France and US support Greece in debt debate; flip flop on meeting with Troika; Eurozone alarm grows; Italian support
prospects for Syriza? (Dec 2013) – and article here on Syriza: Stavrakakis, Y. and Katsambekis, G. (2014) ‘Left-wing populism in the European periphery: the case of SYRIZA’, Journal of Political Ideologies 19(2): 119-42;
The Decline of Party Democracy and the rise of Cartel Parties?
Centre-left and ‘Pasokification’
Karyotis, G. and Rüdig, W., 2015, ‘Blame and Punishment? The Electoral Politics of Extreme Austerity in Greece’, Political Studies 63(1): 2-24.
Rise of the far right and populist parties
discussions of Syriza leading up to Jan 25 2015 election: Syriza takes aim at Greek oligarchs; Syriza a mainstream party; on radicalisation of lower-middle class as basis for Syriza success
on Syriza: here and here and here and on their prospects for entering government; FT on the December 2014 snap election and Syriza, and surging ahead in polls (Jan 2015) and on how Greeks want independence (ready to vote out mainstream parties); on Syriza’s chief economist – John Milios; economic programme; discussion of Syriza’s anti-austerity programme – Owen Jones; different political positions – Counterfire, Lapavitsas, Red Pepper, Varoufakis on need to de-escalate; Socilaist Party: Varoufakis’ “erratic Marxism” is not the answer; discussion here on some of the options facing Sriza
Myrto Tsakatika (2016) SYRIZA’s Electoral Rise in Greece: Protest, Trust and the Art of Political Manipulation, South European Society and Politics, 21:4, 519-540, DOI: 10.1080/13608746.2016.1239671
Ellinas, A.A., 2015, ‘Neo-Nazism in an established democracy: The persistence of Golden Dawn in Greece’, South European Society and Politics 20(1): 1-20.
Kouvelakis, S., 2016, ‘Syriza’s Rise and Fall’, New Left Review 97.
Welfare state – more recent here
Angelaki, M. and Carrera, L.N. (2015) ‘Radical Pension Reforms after the Crisis: A Comparative Analysis of Argentina and Greece’ ,Politics and Policy 43(3): 378-400. Available here.
Varieties of capitalism
on limits to reform of Greek capitalism (June 2015) – and here on reversal of Greek cleaners concession and need for reforms of small businesses post-July deal with EU
Political participation – more recent updates here
The Comparative Politics of the Global Economic Crisis
opposition from Left Platform – see here interview with one of the leading members of the faction:
rebel Syriza MPs ejected from cabinet – and further threat to Syriza majority
comment pieces: risk of rise of radical right?; real defeat was for European solidarity; Varoufakis on Germany’s motivation to scare rest of Europe; Tsipras statement; humiliation for European democracy;
13 July 2015 – deal finally done with EU (negotiations included the mooting of a temporary timeout) – text of the Eurosummit statement (and a version here annotated by Varoufakis) – includes climbdown and agreement that EU will have control over significant section of Greek spending; exposes political faultlines within EU; parliament has earlier backed austerity proposal (although it’s not clear whether they’ll also back the one now agreed , especially as Syriza looks set for rebellino in parliament – – but eventually they do (with members of Syriza defecting) , despite criticisms of the deal by the IMF and of Merkel’s excessively aggressive negotiating strategy – in which Greece only had 3 allies). Detailed description of negotiations here – and details of UK opposition (which failed) to initial part of bailout – Lapavitsas argues for Grexit – new deal sees undoing of lots of earlier achievements (e.g. the Greek cleaners)
Tsipras backs down – but then apparently doesn’t and continues to call for no vote in referendum (all on same day – 1.715) – and Germany/EU refuse to speak to Greece until after referendum, apparently in revenge – Varoufakis promises to resign if Greece votes yes; IMF says Greece needs €60 aid; Varoufakis resigns anyway – failed attempt to block the referendum through the courrts – and here is the transcript of interview immediately afterewards – ends up with a no vote – good report on survey results on demographics of voters in referendum
Greece calls creditors proposal absurd, especially on pensions – Tsipras announces referendum (referendum website here)- markets take it badly – EU refuses to delay deadline of 30 June, making Grexit very likely – prompts run on Greek banks, and need for capital controls and ATM limits
Late June 2015 – yet more brinkmanship: main sticking point remains pensions cuts sought by creditors (25.6.15); businesses going bankrupt under strain and Chinese investors becoming wary and looks like potential for bank run; and discussions postponed again and here (Dutch PM moots Grexit if no deal reached); and potential mutiny from Syriza party members if a deal includes austerity and here, and also opposition from countries’ youth mounting
IMF pulls out of negotiations (11.6.15) and here here – and creates further instability as talks appear to be moving towards default/Grexit – IMF frustrated; Tsipras accuses creditors of “pillaging” Greece ; ECB says it has no plan to force default/collapse, although recognises situation is “dramatic” and accuses Athens of lying; Michael Roberts on prospects and implications of Grexit; clashes between central and local govt. as cash requirements become desparate; FT discusses the possibility of a return to contagion; and majority of Germans favour Grexit
Tsipras rejects deal (5.6.15), here, here, here (in part due to dissent within Syriza) and despite Draghi’s call for “social fairness” – and Juncker expresses anger (and here) – as does German ruling coalition and Obama/here – Greece counters with proposal for debt relief – and discussion on here on the toing and froing
Coming soon: The Angela-Christine Show – Can the German chancellor and International Monetary Fund chief find a Greece solution that pleases their own restless constituencies? & Eurogroup keeps alive hopes of deal
new neogitating team to meet in Brussels (1.5.15); struggles to pay pensions (30.4.15) discussion of this latest stage in teh endgame (Apr 2015); change to negotiating team (Varoufakis dropped) and here and here; breakdown in finance ministeres discussion (26.4.15) – and discussion of fallout and how Greece lost its last friend (France)
Lagarde and Moscovici both make it clear there’s no option of debt cancellation for Greece – reforms necessary in order to avoid Grexit – leading to a last-minute bust-up between Varoufakis and the other foreign ministers (24 Apr 2015); and a good Jacobin analysis of the stalemate/brinkmanship situation here
ECB tightens constraints on lending to Greece; but claims this isn’t blackmail (March 2015) – looking desparate for short-term cash – but just about able to pay pensions (for this month) and again for April
EU urges Greece to submit list of (austerity) reforms (20 MArch 2015) – and reports suggest he is willing to do so – this is despite earlier introduction of anti-poverty measures which angered creditors; ECB moves to cuts off additional sources of debt to government; Syriza economic adviser (Milios) resigns over concessions granted to EU (20 March 2015); Merkel makes clear aid is conditional on reforms – but Greece drags feet on providing list of reforms
Greece gets 4 extra months (20 Feb 2015) – and details of 4-month extension deal and more indepth discupssion; faces clahses with protesters – but deal gets approved by Bundestag (see here too ) – and Varoufakis states a new deal will need to be negotiated (1 March 2015); government running short of cash (10 March 2015); discussion here on stalemate
ECB launches first strike against Syriza government (Feb 2015) (more here) (comment here) (FT Q&A here) – Greek/German disagreement on what to do (Feb 2015) and more and discussison of possibilty of Greek/German deal here; Kaltesky on negotiation strategy; bailout talks breakdwon (12.2.15)
on implications of Syriza win (Jan 2015) for Greek debt and relations with EU: Eurozone leaders reject debt relief demands; on implications for financial markets; claim that half debt needs to be written off (by ex IMF official); Commission official warn Syriza to stick to debt agreements
various recent (early 2015) discussions on need for debt relief for Greece: discussion: Greek debt not unsustainable (FT, Jan 2015); on prospects for Greece and Grexit (and need to write off debt) (FT, Jan 2015); Paul de Grauwe (Jan 2015); size of debt suggests the scale of any relief would be limited; Finland emerges as main opponent of debt relief (Jan 2015)
failure to elect president results in snap general election (dec 29 2014) (IMF puts bailout discussions on hold) and discussion here and here; popular impatience with austerity; Germany warns Greece to stick to reforms regardless of who wins election – discussion here on clash between Greece and Germany; attempts by Syriza to calm investor fears
government announces snap presidential elections (Dec 2014) – video analysis here on why decision was taken – Greek stockmarket sees worst ever one-day fall (13%) (and here) and also spooks international markets; related to 2-month extension of bailout– discussion of snap election here from EU Commission perspective – and discussion on how this reflects ongoing crisis affecting Greece and more discussion here and here – Juncker opposes non-mainstream, as does Moscovici (Dec 2014) – Dimas falls on first attempt (Dec 17 2014) – Samaras proposes to bring forward parliamentary elections, and include independent MPs in new government (Dec 22 2014) – but still fails to win in second round (23.12.14) – discussion of why Greek crisis is less threat to Eurozone than it was in 2012
Greece reaches deal on aid and structural reforms – in face of opposition from local interest groups (18.3.14) and this is confirmed in parliament and more details here and Eurozone ministers agree bailout (further details here)
Getting to Greece: Uncertainty, Misfortune, and the Origins of Political Disorder – 2012 article on Greece and crisis